Predictions for 2011 The year of e-learning - a view from India

Always fun to watch as anyone in this time of year trying to guess how the rest of the year to come. Before you post my thoughts on the year of 2011, I believe, worth checking out  my predictions for the year 2010, published at about this time a year ago. That's what I predicted last year:

No.	Prediction	Fulfilled?	Analysis
For India
A.	Distribution of training programs.	Yes	Supported by various government agencies, training programs have grown violent color in 2010 and will continue to rise in 2011
Two.	Further spread of e-learning in government offices.	Yes	All of the public sector to the military in 2010, put requests for the purchase of e-learning systems - a trend will continue and expand
Three.	The introduction of learning management systems in the sector of traditional education.	No	It did not receive such an extension, as I expected (at least not for us and the companies in the state of affairs that I know) - I hope 2011 will be different the second to the best
4.	The movement toward online exams in different areas of education and testing in employment, especially in state agencies.	Yes	All India entrance test for engineering majors (AIEEE), J2EE, Final qualification test for engineers (GATE) and other organizations have begun to develop their own plans for the introduction of online testing. The industry looks every day more interesting.
Five.	Social and mobile learning will continue to be in its infant stage of development.	Yes	In India, yet there is no significant movement in this direction, despite some interesting projects, such as Kinetic Glue. Tablet PCs may change this situation, if the price drops below 5,000 Indian rupees per share.
For global markets
6.	The explosive spread of electronic books.	No	In fact, I'm not quite sure about this, because we do not deal with too many e-books. But around them there was so much noise, as in the past year (and I myself, still, use a paper book) - try to suggest that a breakthrough is yet to come - maybe this year or next.
7.	Mobile learning at last show rapid growth.	Yes	iPad and Android - these two phenomena are shaped mobile world in 2010. Previously, it was about a new class of devices - tablet, now that they are available to all. We noted a great interest in developing content and applications for these mobile platforms - we expect that this segment will grow rapidly in 2011.
Eight.	Fast content will set the tone.	Yes	It was a no brainer. Customers and developers are moving away from unnecessary multimedia saturation of courses and focus on their effectiveness in a concise chart. This is the right trend and it will evolve.
9.	LMS will remain the main medium of delivery of training courses, the search for alternative media will continue.	Yes	Despite all the negative talk, LMS continued to be the main medium of electronic delivery of training courses in 2010. Community experts in professional training has not found an answer to the question of how to structure learning through social networks. So, the year 2011 will not be in this respect very different from 2010, the (at least in the corporate sector).

Seven of the nine - not bad for an amateur forecaster, is not it! Do you agree with the above analysis?

Now the forecasts for 2011. In addition to these trends there are several developments that I believe will have an impact next year:

A. growth of online training sessions conducted "live" in India - the need is obvious - a wide geography and the lack of trainers. With the proliferation of 3G networks and the availability of tablet / notebook, I think we can see the beginning of the implementation of synchronous "live" training sessions for key field staff and distance learning this year.
2. Birth controlled movements and interactive learning - Xbox Kinect and PS3 Move - a great technological innovation and have a great scope for use in training, especially in the segment of K-12. I am sure that very soon, developers will (if not done already), an innovative, exciting and fun course with the use of management techniques with the help of movements. I know that the Nintendo Wii EMS several years ago, but reading the movements without the use of controllers used in the Xbox Kinect and smoothness of the PS3 Move takes experience to another level and should lead to new and interesting developments.
3. Funds will support the spread of performance - because the department of training and staff development adapts to current needs of users, will gain more weight to performance support tools, such as built-in toolbar, calculators, formed by the broad masses of users of the knowledge base with the ability to search, etc. I believe that this will begin in 2011.
4. volume of outsourcing will continue to grow - the last economic downturn has forced many companies in the field of e-education and training departments are not used before outsourcing, the structural optimization of the start in order to achieve financial optimization. Due to the fact that outsourcing in the field of e-learning has become commonplace, and the process of developing e-learning courses has reached a certain stage of maturity, this model will spread even faster than before.
5. Serious games will gain momentum - on the one hand, we observe a departure from the over-saturation of exchange multimedia content and distribution platforms for the rapid development of content. On the other hand, I feel a renewed interest in learning-based games. It is well suited for training new, young employees who are "digital natives jungle." We should see much more development in the field of serious games in 2011, the year.
6. LMS still remain the main tool of e-learning - I know that I repeat my own last year's prediction is given in the table above. I'm doing this just to tease the doomsday preachers!

That is, I believe, will be the case in 2011. What are your thoughts?